Bitcoin Stock To Flow Model Explained

Bitcoin btc stock to flow s2f model was published in march 2019. Essentially the model quantifies scarcity and places it on a price trajectory.

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Earlier this year 2019 there was an article written about bitcoin stock to flow model link below with matematical model used to calculate model price during the time.

Bitcoin stock to flow model explained. Instead we offer a simple explanation from a bird s eye vantage point and discuss the conclusion that is drawn from the models. For bitcoin you can look at how many bitcoin are currently in circulation stock and compare it to how many bitcoin are created yearly flow. The high stock to flow ratio of gold makes it the commodity with the lowest price elasticity of supply.

But it can also be applied to bitcoin as well. We go through two articles written by planb on how he quantify scarcity using stock to flow and use stock to flow to model bitcoin s valueaudio credits. Since the data points are indexed in time order it.

Stock to flow models are traditionally used to predict the price of a store of value commodity like gold or other precious metals by comparing the current available supply of the commodity against the in flowing supply or amount mined. The information here won t teach you all of the nuances of the s2f and s2fx models. The original btc s2f model is a formula based on monthly s2f and price data.

Saifedean ammous first talks about scarcity valuation in terms of stock to flow sf ratio it is this consistently low rate of supply of gold that is the fundamental reason it has maintained its monetary role throughout human history. Model price usd exp 1 84 sf 3 36. The stock to flow model s2f for predicting bitcoin s price movements in the long term has been gaining credibility ever since it was published in march 2019.

The supply growth rate is flow stock according to how it was explained w hen first unveiled in mid 2019. The stock to flow model analyzes the relationship between the currently available stock of resources and its production rate. This model is mainly applied to precious metals and other commodities.

If we put current bitcoin stock to flow value 27 into this formula we get value of 10 750 usd. Bitcoin stock to flow model explained in 60 seconds. Stock to flow s2f is a measure of the total supply of items versus how quickly they are getting produced.

The stock to flow model assigns value to the scarcity of bitcoin. This is a brief discussion about one of the most well known models in the bitcoin space called the stock to flow s2f model. According to this model bitcoin is an asset that retains its value for the long term.

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